| Date |
Monitoring
signals |
Coincident
index
1996=100 |
Leading
index
1996=100 |
Lagging
index
1996=100 |
| 2008 |
|
|
|
|
| September |
102.0 |
100.8 |
98.8 |
99.7 |
|
October
|
89.3 |
99.1 |
97.5 |
98.6 |
| November |
78.7 |
97.6 |
97.4 |
97.2 |
| December |
78.7 |
95.5 |
98.0 |
95.6 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
2009
|
|
|
|
|
| January |
74.7 |
94.5 |
98.6 |
93.9 |
| February |
73.3 |
94.0 |
99.1 |
92.7 |
| March |
82.0 |
94.5 |
100.0 |
91.2 |
| April |
78.0 |
95.0 |
101.1 |
90.7 |
| May |
84.0 |
95.5 |
102.1 |
90.0 |
| June |
90.7 |
96.1 |
102.7 |
89.5 |
| July |
94.0 |
96.7 |
103.6 |
89.6 |
| August |
96.7 |
97.3 |
104.3 |
90.1 |
| September |
99.3 |
97.9 |
104.9 |
91.0 |
| October |
|
|
|
|
| November |
|
|
|
|
| December |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Macro-economic
Climate Indices:
The coincident index is the index reflecting the current basic
trend of the economy, and it is calculated with the following
data: (1) industrial production, (2) employment, (3) social
demands (including investment, consumption and foreign trade),
and (4) social incomes (including the government taxes,
profits of enterprises and income of residents). The leading
index is calculated with a group of leading indicators, which
take a lead before the coincident index, and is used for
forecasting the future economic trend. The lagging index is
calculated with the lagging indicators, which lag behind the
coincident index, and is mainly used for confirming the peak
and valley of the economic cycle. The business cycle signal
divided the economic operation into 5 levels, which are:
“Red Light” means overheating, “Yellow Light” means
Increasing, “Green Light” means stable, “Light Blue
Light” means decreasing, “Dark Blue Light” means
overcooling.
Source: National Bureau of
Statistics, Economic Monitoring and Analysis Center.
|
