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Consumer durables ownership 1990-2002

In the first first three decades of Communist rule (1949-1979), people in China aspired to own three durable goods: a wristwatch, a bicycle and a sewing machine. By the end of the period, these possessions were universal in urban areas (for example, in 1981 there were 135.9 bicycles per 100 households in urban areas), though not in the countryside. In 1980, there were still only 36.9 bicycles, 23.3 sewing machines and 37.6 watches per 100 rural households. It was not until 1984 that there was an average of one wristwatch per rural household, not until 1988 that there was an average of one bicycle per household, and sewing machine ownership is not yet universal in rural areas.

In the 1980s and 1990s, as the economy grew rapidly, town-dwellers acquired three more prized possessions: colour televisions, washing machines and refrigerators. At the same time, the range of available consumer durables widened to include a much greater variety of items, such as videotape recorders and DVD players.

As in the western countries and Japan, these consumer durable markets have now reached saturation in the cities, so that demand is now increasingly replacement demand. Consumers have become much more discerning, so domestic producers have had to raise their standards to meet the challenge posed by high-quality imports. WTO accession will accelerate the process of weeding out inefficient and low-quality domestic manufacturers.

By 2002, the pattern of urban household consumption had developed further. While less than 2% of households had a motor bike in 1990, more than one in five did so in 2002. Car ownership remained less than 1% in 2002 but was growing rapidly, having grown at an annual average rate of 37.9% since 1999. With washing machine, colour TV and fridge ownership almost universal, the main growth areas in consumption were in mobile phones, which rocketed from 7.1% of households in 1999 to 62.9% in 2002, and computer ownership, which rose simultaneously from 5.9% to 20.6% of households. In 1990, almost all households kept cool with an electric fan; air conditioner ownership has since risen to over half of all urban households. The proportion of households with showers installed in their apartments doubled to 62.4% between 1995 and 2002.

Consumer durables ownership in urban areas

(Number of items owned per 100 urban households at year-end)

1990

1995

1999

2000

2001

2002

Motor bike

1.94

6.29

15.12

18.80

20.40

22.19

Washing machine

78.41

88.97

91.44

90.50

92.20

92.90

Fridge

42.33

66.22

77.74

80.10

81.90

87.38

Colour TV

59.04

89.79

111.57

116.60

120.50

126.38

Video

18.19

21.73

20.10

19.89

18.43

Hi-Fi

10.52

19.66

22.20

23.80

25.16

Camera

19.22

30.56

38.11

38.40

39.80

44.08

Air conditioner

0.34

8.09

24.48

30.80

35.80

51.10

Shower

30.05

45.49

49.10

52.00

62.42

VCD/DVD player

24.71

37.50

42.60

52.57

Computer

5.91

9.70

13.30

20.63

Mobile phone

7.14

19.50

34.00

62.89

Car

0.34

0.50

0.60

0.88

The assumption that people living in the countryside spurn the luxuries of the cities is nonsense. Differences in consumption patterns are largely the result of income differentials, reflected also in other factors, such as lack of electricity supply, which together explain why washing machine ownership was still limited to 30.8% of rural households in 2002. Electric fan use is still the overwhelming method of household cooling, with air conditioner ownership at only 2.3% in 2002. Low incomes and low network penetration also explain why mobile phone ownership was only 13.7% in rural areas in 2002, although this was over three times the proportion two years earlier.

Consumer durables ownership in rural areas

(Number of items owned per 100 rural households at year-end)

2000

2001

2002

Washing machine

28.58

29.94

30.80

Electric fan

122.62

129.42

134.26

Fridge

12.31

13.59

14.83

Air conditioner

1.32

1.70

2.29

Exhaust fan

2.75

3.15

3.58

Bicycle

120.48

120.83

121.32

Motor bike

21.94

24.71

28.07

Phone

26.38

34.11

40.77

Mobile phone

4.32

8.06

13.67

Hi-Fi

7.76

8.67

9.73

Colour TV

48.74

54.41

60.45

Video

3.30

3.33

3.32

Camera

3.12

3.23

3.34

Source: China Statistical Yearbook 2003.